NCAA Tournament March Madness

#89 Colorado St

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Projection: likely out

Colorado State's profile pairs a handful of meaningful wins — neutral victories over Wichita State and South Florida and a home triumph over Colorado — with a string of damaging results away from home, the most glaring being the rout at Utah State and road setbacks at Fresno State and Boise State that will stick in a committee's mind. A nonconference loss to Denver and a close defeat to Virginia Tech on a neutral floor highlight an uncomfortable inconsistency, so the resume reads as one that can beat respectable opponents but struggles to do it reliably on the road. That combination leaves the Rams outside the comfortable group heading into the final stretch, and the upcoming trip to San Diego State and the road test at New Mexico are the kind of chances that could swing perception if they find a way to win. Home dates with San Jose State and Air Force are must-win opportunities to build momentum, but unless Colorado State can pair those with at least one decisive road victory against a quality conference foe the heavy losses will continue to define the résumé.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Incarnate Word243W98-64
11/9NE Omaha260W97-74
11/12Cal Poly268W93-79
11/16@Loyola-Chicago310W80-67
11/21Denver267L83-81
11/26(N)Virginia Tech57L66-64
11/27(N)Wichita St96W76-70
11/28(N)South Florida69W83-68
12/6Colorado81W91-86
12/9Dartmouth237W76-55
12/20@Utah St32L100-58
12/30Nevada67L75-62
1/3@Grand Canyon76W70-60
1/6New Mexico46L80-70
1/9UNLV121W70-62
1/13@Fresno St138L79-69
1/16@Boise St62L79-73
1/20Air Force346W81-52
1/23Utah St32L65-61
1/28@San Diego St4522%
1/31@Wyoming10745%
2/7San Jose St24289%
2/10@Air Force34692%
2/14Wyoming10767%
2/18@UNLV12151%
2/21San Diego St4542%
2/24Fresno St13875%
2/28@San Jose St24275%
3/4@New Mexico4623%
3/7Boise St6251%